We find ourselves at 13-13 on the year after going 4-4 last week. We are looking to the gambling Gods to help us finish with a winning record for this Week Five College Football slate of games! These best bets should help us finish in the green!
#9 Oklahoma St @ #16 Baylor (OKST +2.5 -110)
These two teams faced off in the Big 12 championship game last year. Oklahoma St. gave away the win. These teams are both really good and they will both be ready to go. Oklahoma St. defense isn’t going to be the deciding factor in this game. The offense should win this game.
OKST has a really good offense so far this year. Their QB has been playing well, coming in with 916 passing yards and 10 touchdowns. He is going against a defense that can stop the run but isn’t great against the pass. Good pass offense and bad pass defense make for a great combination for OKST to win this game outright.
#7 Kentucky @ #14 Ole Miss (Kentucky -7 -110)
Ole Miss is 4-0 but they haven’t had to play anyone yet. They got Jaxson Dart in the transfer portal this season, but his numbers have been underwhelming. Dart came into Week Five with 697 yards, 5 TDs, and 2 INTs. This isn’t the typical air raid Lane Kiffin offense. Only throwing the ball 35% of the time, they will run a lot of the clock down in this game. Kentucky has shown they can stop the run, only allowing 108.3 yards per game.
We have talked about him before. Will Levis is one of college football’s best quarterbacks this year. Kentucky averages 296.3 yards per game and Ole Miss has allowed 193.3 yards per game against much less talented teams. I think Kentucky keeps this game close and could pull off the win outright. Kentucky is one of my favorite teams to bet on so far this college football season.
UTSA @ Middle Tennessee (UTSA -4.5 -110)
This is a classic bet for avid sports gamblers. Middle Tennessee is coming off of an enormous win against $25 Miami. Having a big win like that usually takes a toll on a team the next week. UTSA isn’t a great team, but I am looking for Middle Tennessee to have a hangover game and not look like the same team that beat Miami. I have UTSA Friday night to get Week Five started on a good note.
#15 Washington @ UCLA (Washington -2.5 -110)
UCLA’s best competition this year has been nothing short of horrible. The best team they have played so far this year is South Alabama. Their stats are a little inflated due to them playing bad teams with bad passing defenses. Their stats at this point mean almost nothing. Whereas Washington has played a solid Stanford team and they beat the #11 ranked Michigan St. Spartans. Washington’s offense is explosive with 29 plays of 20 yards or more. They love to move the ball down the field.
Michael Penix Jr. finds himself as a dark horse Heisman candidate. Leading Washington to 44 points and 530.8 yards per game, this offense is legit. I think Washington is the sounder team on defense as well. This line movement has been crazy this week, but I am going to take Washington -2.5 as one of my best bets for Week Five.
Purdue @ #21 Minnesota (Minnesota -12 -110)
This pick is to ride the PJ Fleck, Minnesota Golden Gophers wave and to face a really bad Purdue team. Minnesota has possibly the best running back in all of college football in Mohamed Ibrahim. Mo is averaging 6.4 yards per carry, has eight TD’s, and 567 rushing yards.
Quarterback Tanner Morgan is also no slouch either, with 886 passing yards, seven TDs, and one INT. He is lighting it up. The Minnesota team is second in the country in offensive efficiency and their defense allows only six points per game. With Purdue’s starting QB, Aidan O’Connell might not play either. Get Minnesota while they’re hot!
Illinois @ Wisconsin (Illinois +7 -110)
Illinois has a solid defense this year, with the number 19th ranked defense in the country. They also are stout against the pass as well, only allowing 147.3 passing yards per game. The Illinois offense is also very balanced, with 245.8 passing yards and 209 rushing yards per game. We are looking for a slow-paced classic Big 10 “old man football” game. Wisconsin QB Graham Mertz only has the 66th ranked QBR this season and is known for giving up the ball with bad turnovers. I like Illinois to stay within the number this week.
Virginia Tech @ North Carolina (UNC -9 -110)
This pick is mainly because of two things. First off, Virginia Tech allows almost as many points as they scored this year and has an offense that can’t come back if they’re down big.
Second, North Carolina has shown they can put up massive amounts of points, but they have a weak defense. I think UNC is going to take an early lead of 14-20 points and never look back. I have UNC as one of my best bets in Week Five.
Iowa St @ Kansas (Kansas +3.5 -110)
Kansas sold out their last home game against Duke and, for the first time in a very very long time, Kansas had a home field advantage. They also have an incredible QB by the name of Jalon Daniels. Daniels finds himself with 890 passing yards, 11 passing touchdowns, 380 rushing yards, and four rushing touchdowns. The dude can ball.
Iowa St. throughout the season plays tough teams close. Beating Iowa 10-7 and losing to #17 Baylor 31-24, they like to play tight games. I think with Kansas’s ability to score points and the home-field advantage, Kansas is going to not only cover but they’re going to win outright! Kansas is one of my Week Five favorite bets.
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