Our first official NBA prop bet article went 1-2 on January 13th. Unfortunately, the game script didn’t go our way and the longshot performance parlay barely fell. A slight loss isn’t terrible and even more of a reason to hop back on the horse and change the tides. There won’t be a full slate of NBA games tonight but there’s enough to find some juicy bets. If you enjoy this segment of Stadium Rant’s best bets, please check out the Gritty Gamblers Guide for the latest NFL and UFC bets!
James Harden O31.5 Points+Assist -105
One of the top two best NBA player props tonight is James Harden over 31.5 points and assists. He’s hit over this line in the last three games and in the two games before that, he hit 31 on the dot. There’s no denying that Joel Embiid is the top scorer on the team but Harden complements him well. On the year, Harden is averaging 22.3 points per game and 11.2 assists per game. If he hits his average, we cash this NBA prop.
Harden’s history against the Los Angeles Clippers has been successful. He has hit this points and assist line five straight times over his last five games against them. Tonight should be no different and his streak shall continue to six straight. To put his success into perspective, the last time these two teams faced was on December 23, 2022. On that day, Harden had 20 points and 21 assists, easily crushing this line.
Kawhi Leonard 25+ Points -130
The second of the two NBA best bets for tonight is from the same game, the Philadelphia 76ers versus the LA Clippers. Luke Kennard is out with a calf injury and John Wall just picked up a somewhat significant abdomen injury. Paul George is questionable with a hamstring injury but is trending toward playing. If he does, he has a high chance of having his NBA minutes capped as he isn’t fully healthy yet.
Kawhi has been the face of this Clippers offense lately and that shouldn’t change tonight. His line is currently set at 25.5 but that .5 screws a lot of folks so it’s better to be safe than sorry. Over his last ten games, he has hit over 25 points five times but don’t let that scare you. Similar to James Harden, when Kawhi plays the 76ers, he’s hit 25-plus points eight out of ten times. He is currently averaging just over 28 points per game when he faces the 76ers. Trust the stats and roll with this NBA prop bet.
Longshot Player Performance Doubles Parlay +6206
Jrue Holiday 20-plus Points/Milwaukee to Win
Tre Jones 18-plus Points/San Antonio to Win
Nikola Jokic Double Double/Denver to Win
Joel Embiid Double Double/Philadelphia to Win
If you take this longshot NBA parlay, don’t invest your life savings. There’s a solid chance that this hits but the lines for all four NBA teams are tight and one little mishap will throw off the whole parlay. With Giannis Antetokounmpo out again, look for Jrue to lead this Bucks team to victory. The last time these two teams played, the Bucks squeaked out a win by three points but Jrue didn’t play in that game. The Bucks destroyed a solid Indiana Pacers team yesterday and Jrue racked up 35 points. I don’t expect him to repeat but 20-plus points is very doable with Giannis out.
The Brooklyn Nets are currently 3.5-point favorites against the San Antonio Spurs and the Spurs are on a five-game losing streak. The reason I’m not on the Nets is that Kevin Durant is out and Kyrie Irving was a late add to the injury report which might result in him being out in this contest. The Spurs are hungry for a victory and mostly healthy. Tre has been up-and-down with his shooting percentage but without Durant and possibly Irving, Tre should get more open looks in this game to surpass this total.
There’s no analysis required on Nikola Jokic to get a double-double because he does it every game, sometimes he even gets the hat trick. This is the lowest leg of the parlay with Jokic compiling a double-double every night he plays and the Denver Nuggets are six-point favorites. The Nuggets have a lot of questionable players but the Nuggets know how to win at home. With home-court advantage, the Nuggets are 19-3 and are 8-2 in their last ten games.
This last leg can go either way, depending on your comfort. You can take James Harden to get a double-double or Joel Embiid, Embiid has slightly higher odds. Harden goes for points and assists whereas Embiid goes for points and rebounds. Embiid is almost a double-double machine but not quite. He has hit this stat line in six of the last eight games and shouldn’t sweat it tonight against a banged-up Los Angeles Clippers team. The Clippers are favored by two points but that’s more so for home-court advantage. Luke Kennard is still out, John Wall is now out for two weeks with an abdomen injury, and Paul George is questionable with a hamstring injury.
Disclaimer: These bets are all informational and in no way are we telling you to take these bets. Please bet smart and only bet what you can afford. If you need help, please don’t hesitate to get in touch with the gambling hotline at 1-800-270-7117.