Last week was another 5/6 cash out for NFL parlays, which isn’t hitting, but it certainly doesn’t hurt to profit $300 on a $5 bet. People who are following this article series are up between $900 and $1100, depending on odds shifts, wagered amount, book used, and other outside factors.
The point is I’ve made people money on these and am still in search of the ever-elusive 6/6 full ticket cash. Hopefully, it will be this week because I have a juicy bastard for all of you degenerates, featuring all WRs, two 1s, and four high-level 2s.
This week’s edition of Lamb’s 6 Legger parlay is $5 to win $3,182. Odds are subject to change, and as always, be aware of your cash-out options.
Recently (the last five miserable years), I haven’t liked betting on a Patriots player to score, but to celebrate the Drake Maye era’s new beginning, that trend is getting busted. Maye and Douglas have a solid connection since he leads the team in target catches and receiving yards.
“Pop,” as his teammate calls him, shreds man coverage, which just so happens to be something the Texans run a lot (he scored last week), and the Jags run man coverage more often with worse players.
Jacksonville gives up almost 30 points a game and just got cooked by a rookie quarterback last week. I know the last time I took a London game touchdown scorer, it missed, but I have faith after a profitable previous week.
Amon-Ra St Brown is one of the most underrated players of this generation. He’s often never spoken about as highly as the Ja’Marrs or JJs of the world, but he has been every bit as dominant as them.
The Lions have been returning to the ground-and-pound game lately, which is why we are getting this type of number. This massive match-up against Minnesota will be a huge factor in deciding the NFC North champ.
The loss of Aidan Hutchinson and the Vikings’ ability to stop the run have the makings of high-volume passing and scoring from both teams. Jared Goff has been absolutely cooking since they lost to Tampa Bay, and he’s been great against the blitz this season, which the Vikings do a ton of.
Nico Collins was leading the league in receiving yards before his injury this year, which may lead some to forget just what Tank Dell did during his healthy rookie campaign. Well, he was on pace for 17 touchdowns if he finished the season the way he was playing. We only need one of those, not 17.
Dell led the team in targets in the first week without Nico, and I expect that to continue here in a massive game on Lambeau field against the Packers. Dell had 7/59/1 against the Patriots, and that game script was run once they had an instant 14-point lead. This game profiles to be a shootout, and I love that the market is still pricing Dell like Nico is out there at +170.
Yes, you read that correctly: +210. What the &!@% how in the hell is this line +210? Smith returned from an injury and broke off a big 45-yard touchdown because of his game-breaking speed. Two other factors enter into the conversation when questioning this line.
The first is that Dallas Goedert has been ruled out of this game. In those games (5), Smith earned an average of 8 or more targets and scored two touchdowns. Generally, they lean on him when one of the skill players is out and Smith is still in.
The other factor is that the Giants tend to try to double-cover the number one receiver, in this case, AJ Brown. This leaves Smith and the other corner alone on an island, and that is our recipe for success.
I was going to have Jerry Jeudy in this spot at +340. Trust me, I was tempted due to Cooper going to the Bills, but I just can’t trust the Browns right now, so I decided to fade their defense instead.
Cleveland gave up touchdowns to AJ Brown and Devonta Smith last week, and I expect a similar outcome to unfold here. Burrow has never particularly performed well against the Browns, and I expect that ship to get the course correct in this game.
The Bengals’ target tree is just 75% Chase and Higgins and 25% everyone else. Chase was also on my mind, but I decided to go with the better number since I have them a lot closer in value.
This feels like a foregone conclusion; the only thing more inevitable than Adams scoring in his first game with Aaron Rodgers was that he would play another game with Aaron Rodgers. The Steelers have a solid defense, but their secondary isn’t elite, even if it was Rodgers is likely to force-feed Adams.
In the six seasons they played together, Davante Adams had 622 catches for 7,590 yards and 69 touchdowns with Aaron Rodgers. There won’t be an offensive learning period since the Jets run the Aaron Rodgers offense anyway. I am betting on one of those generational connections between passer and receiver that just never fades.
This week definitely feels like it’s more of a gut-oriented ticket than a stats-driven exercise, but gambling isn’t an exact science. If it were, no one would be working, and everyone would be profitable at sports betting.
I hope you continue to ride with me on these parlays. They are doing well, so I’ve decided to add another one to the weekly special. I will also be doing a 3-leg First Touchdown Scorer parlay for this week, so be on the lookout for that.
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