Bill's Offensive Retool Effects: Josh Allen's Fantasy Season
In the last four seasons, Allen has finished as the top fantasy quarterback in three of those seasons, with the only outlier being his finishing as the second-best at his position. Since coming into the league, Allen has always offered an elite level of rushing upside while consistently adding a great deal of offense through the passing game.
Allen faces the challenge in 2024 of having an almost entirely new Wide Receiver group to support after the departures of Stefon Diggs and Gabe Davis while adding rookie Keon Coleman and veteran Curtis Samuel. Although having a new wide receiver room gives some worry to Allen’s passing production, many forget the great production that Allen still had while his veteran Wide Receivers struggled in the second half of the 23-24 season.
What Changed In 2023 For Allen & The Bills
Between this and the switching of offensive coordinators mid-season, his skill set has proven enough that, even with some challenges in his way, Allen will usually still put up elite-level fantasy production. In a league where rushing TDs score more than passing TDs. Allen set a career-high in rushing touchdowns (15), with Joe Brady only calling half of the year; once he took over, Allen had 8 in 8 games after 7 in 10 games with Ken Dorsey.
Allen should almost always be the first quarterback taken in your drafts. Barring any injuries, you can expect Josh Allen to be a top-three quarterback in the 24-25 season with QB1 upside. In Superflex leagues, he not only delivers week-winning performances but is the perfect anchor for a championship-level roster. If you are undergoing a long rebuild, trading Allen for the top dollar could be an interesting option, but you must get multiple firsts and some young contributors.
Our consensus projections for Allen in the 2024 season would be: 377 completions, 4438 yards, 29 touchdowns, 12 interceptions through the air, and 115 carries for 630 yards and 11 rushing touchdowns
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