Chiefs Week Four: Stat Predictions Against The Buccaneers
It is hard to look at a game and predict the stats certain players will have. You can completely guess or look at history to make an educated guess. Who from the Chiefs will dominate on Sunday Night?
The Kansas City Chiefs are coming off a loss in a game that they should have won against the Indianapolis Colts. Before that game, Kansas City won against the Arizona Cardinals and the Los Angeles Chargers. The Chiefs are fourth in points for the year with 88 through three games. The Chiefs are sixth in passing yards and 21st in rushing yards. The Buccaneers defense is 12th in passing yards given up and fifth in rushing yards given up. The biggest takeaway from their defense is they are first in points against with just 27 points allowed through three games.
Predicting The Chiefs Stats On Offense In Week Four
Chiefs Quarterback Patrick Mahomes is averaging 285.7 yards per game. As stated above the Bucs are pretty good against the pass. They have only given up three passing touchdowns through three games. In 2020 when facing the Bucs in week 12, Mahomes put up monster numbers. He finished that game with 462 yards and three touchdowns. Fans know that the team faced them again that year in the Super Bowl, but the offensive line was in shambles and he still put up 270 yards along with two interceptions. Anyone that watched that game knows Mahomes wasn’t at fault.
I think it will be a tough game but this Chiefs team wants revenge. Also, the offensive line has been hearing all the talk from Tampa Bay Buccaneers Linebacker Shaq Barrett. I think Mahomes will go for 275 yards and three touchdowns along with one interception. I also think he will be sacked three times.
The pass catchers are an interesting group as we don’t know who will have a big day. Against the Colts, Wide Reciever JuJu Smith-Schuster did his best work of the season. Who will get theirs against the Bucs in Primetime? These are the stats that I’m predicting for the pass catchers:
WR Smith-Schuster: five receptions for 55 yards
WR Valdes-Scantling: four receptions for 40 yards, two touchdowns
WR Mecole Hardman: three receptions for 20 yards
WR Skyy Moore: one reception for 15 yards
TE Travis Kelce: seven receptions for 85 yards, one touchdown
TE Noah Gray: one reception for ten yards
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire: four receptions for 35 yards
RB Jerick McKinnon: two receptions for 15 yards
WHAT A THROW by Patrick Mahomes to JuJu Smith-Schuster for a HUGE play! #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/OvpnIYCYqx — Pro Football Culture (@proftblculture) September 25, 2022
As I stated before the Buccaneers are very stout against the run. It is going to be tough to move their front seven. The Chiefs’ offensive line has heard all the talk but will that translate into mauling so our run game can get going? These are the stats that I’m predicting for our run game, and yes, the Chiefs will likely try a few gadgets plays for Hardman, as always:
RB Clyde Edwards-Helaire: ten rushing attempts for 42 yards
RB Jerick McKinnon: five rushing attempts for 16 yards
RB Isiah Pacheco: seven rushing attempts for 25 yards
WR Mecole Hardman: two rushing attempts for 13 yards
Predicting Stat Lines For The Chiefs Defense In Week Four
The Chiefs’ defense is 14th in passing yards given up and ninth in rushing yards given up. That’s impressive considering we went against Colts running back Jonathan Taylor last week. The Chiefs are ranked 16th in points given up. The Buccaneers are 22nd in passing yards and 25th in rushing yards while ranking 22nd in points for. So the Buccaneers are having trouble moving the ball and the Chiefs are surprisingly stout in yards given up. What will the Chiefs’ defensive stats look like against a Tampa Bay Team playing at home after Hurricane Ian in Primetime?
The Chiefs’ defense will hold Tom Brady to 250 yards and two touchdowns with one interception and one fumble loss. I think the Chiefs will have three sacks against Brady. The Kansas City defense will hold the Bucs’ running game to just 80 yards without giving up a touchdown on the ground. I’ll highlight a few players that I think will have a good game stats-wise:
LB Nick Bolton: nine tackles, two tackles for loss, one forced fumble
CB L’Jarius Sneed: five tackles, one interception
DL George Karlaftis: four tackles, two tackles for loss, one sack
DL Chris Jones: five tackles, one sack
Safety Justin Reid: four tackles, three pass deflections, one sack
The Chiefs Special Teams Is Hoping For A Bounce Back Week Four
I really hope the Chiefs have a better special teams performance than they did against the Colts. I’ll just keep this portion brief and predict the scoring stats:
Chiefs Kicker, Matthew Wright: three extra points made, one field goal from 30-40 yards.
Buccaneers kicker Ryan Succop: two extra points made, two field goals made (35 yards, 45 yards)
The #Chiefs run a fake field goal, but punter Tommy Townsend's pass to TE Noah Gray is incomplete. #ChiefsKingdom pic.twitter.com/8eIMxgF8qB — Devon Clements (@DevclemNFL) September 25, 2022
Outcome
If you are keeping score at home you would know that I think the Kansas City Chiefs will beat the Tampa Bay Buccaneers. I think the game will be one of those close, defensive games. Kansas City will win the game 24 to 20. Stats are always hard to predict but if we have a good understanding of past history we can take an educated guess about future stats and results.
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