Parlays And Prop Bets: 2024 NFL Week Eight
The Majority Of Teams Have Been Fully Exposed In The 2024 Season. Most Are Now Performing Near Expectations More Often Than Delivering Major Surprises.
Multiple Games Will Cause Evaluation Headaches In Week Eight Of NFL Schedule. Be Thoughtful When Betting To Increase The Profits From A Win.
If you enjoy playing fantasy sports, two concepts create nightmares in football leagues: injuries and bye weeks. High-scoring performances are difficult to predict from unexpected sources. They are even more difficult to obtain from teams that aren’t playing.
This week Cleveland faces Baltimore, and the Browns will have a different quarterback. The new or different personnel concept can also be applied to Tampa Bay and its receivers. Jayden Daniels of Washington is on the early injury report, though head coach Dan Quinn says a full update won’t arrive until Friday. Miami’s Tua Tagovailoa returned to practice for the first time since a concussion in the second game sent him to injured reserve.
There are many factors to consider when reviewing your options for wagers. Unfortunately, not all of them are clean and easily found. Davante Adams was traded from the Raiders and played his first game last week for the Jets. After a 37-15 loss to the Steelers, Adams addressed the team with what is being described as a passionate call for immediate action, saying the New York players had “a lack of energy and urgency” in the game. (Several sources are reporting the event. This article from NFL.com is attributed to Nick Shook.)
Claims that teams and players are lacking energy and urgency? Where is energy measured on a stat line? How many prop bets are based on the urgency a player provides? The answers cannot be found on paper or from deep research. The most dedicated fans, however, will debate players who possess a different level of passion when rushing the quarterback or driving for an extra yard.
The 2024 season continues as teams approach the midpoint of the year. Take a deep breath as you examine your betting options.
Baltimore Ravens (-9) At Cleveland Browns
One area that hasn’t been bad for Cleveland is surrendering points. I expect this game to feature an early and comfortable lead for the Ravens that transitions to ball-control play calling as they close out a victory. It shouldn’t be a scoreboard-breaking affair.
Baltimore should be running the ball in the second half. Keep Lamar Jackson and Derrick Henry in mind as rushing options. Justin Tucker has been perfect over the past three weeks, going 7-for-7 with two attempts from more than fifty yards.
Tennessee Titans At Detroit Lions (-11)
The smart money here will focus on Jared Goff, as Detroit spreads things out on offense. Jahmyr Gibbs is the team leader in rushing yardage. Gibbs and David Montgomery each average roughly 14 carries and 1 touchdown per game. Montgomery was reported to have some knee soreness following last week’s game, which should be watched on status updates late in the week. Amon-Ra St. Brown is comfortably ahead in team receptions. St. Brown and Jameson Williams are both averaging more than 60 yards receiving per game. Interesting prop bets might include pairing a passing touchdown from Goff with another player’s stats.
Indianapolis Colts At Houston Texans (-5.5)
Do not talk yourself into C. J. Stroud prop bets. Repeat that sentence as often as necessary to prevent wagers on any C. J. Stroud prop bets this week. Nico Collins was injured against Buffalo. Since his loss, the Texans have played twice. Stroud struggled with accuracy in both games and put up his two lowest totals for passing yardage this season. Collins remains out.
Houston has given up multiple sacks in every game this year except one. Indianapolis could be a good place to look for defensive prop opportunities.
Green Bay Packers (-4.5) At Jacksonville Jaguars
The Jaguars return home this week following back-to-back games in England. Only Carolina has surrendered more points than Jacksonville in 2024.
Jordan Love and the Packers face a road-weary team that allows the opposition to score. Look at the over for every prop bet involving Love. He’s going to throw for more than 300 yards and multiple touchdowns.
Arizona Cardinals At Miami Dolphins (-3)
This game requires careful consideration. All of the issues involve the availability of Tagovailoa. This season, the Dolphins have been horrible on offense. They also haven’t given up many points. That pairing suggests a low-scoring game. If Tagovailoa plays, every Miami skill player becomes a threat to post their best numbers of the season.
The over/under for this game is posted around 46. If Tagovailoa is out, the best wager involving the game is the under. He may not be sharp if he plays, so be careful.
New York Jets (-7) At New England Patriots
Remember the speech from Adams? The entire season for the Jets is on the line in this game. While not a difficult schedule ahead, there are games with Seattle, Indianapolis, and Buffalo. Currently on a four-game losing streak, it’s hard to see how a 2-6 team that had lost five in a row would be able to navigate it into the playoffs.
Do you believe that Aaron Rodgers is dealing with the normal aches and pains of an NFL season, and that Adams will inspire his teammates? If yes, go heavy on the Jets attempting to make a statement and winning big. If not, look for your wagers on the New England lines.
Atlanta Falcons (-2.5) At Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Take the Falcons and take them big. The Buccaneers are hurting and have not had enough time to decide how to approach it.
Chicago Bears (-1.5) At Washington Commanders
The Bears are playing outstanding defense this year, and Jayden Daniels is hurting. This creates a situation where Washington should be off the table for bets. Chicago continues to improve offensively and has played its best games in the three wins leading to this week. Look at options from the Bears, specifically Caleb Williams, to include in your wagers.
New Orleans Saints At Los Angeles Chargers (-7.5)
The Chargers have given up 83 points this year, with every other team over 100. Los Angeles doesn’t create many turnovers, so defensive wagers should create hesitations. Kicker Cameron Dicker did go 5-for-5 last week and could be an option.
Buffalo Bills (-3) At Seattle Seahawks
Josh Allen’s 2024 performance shows the troubles in evaluating this game. He’s thrown 12 touchdowns and no interceptions, which is great. He also averages 211 passing yards per game, which seems barely average. We can reasonably expect multiple touchdowns from Allen in the air, and few opportunities for Seattle’s defense. Beyond that, only Amari Cooper and DK Metcalf could generate significant numbers, but two well-balanced offenses shy away from numerous targets and opportunities for them.
Philadelphia Eagles At Cincinnati Bengals (-2.5)
Joe Burrow has not consistently run a high-powered attack from the Bengals this year. Jalen Hurts has been equally frustrating with the Eagles. Philadelphia’s defense has been decent at limiting scoring. It also ranks last in the league for turnovers.
This will be a low-scoring contest. If the Eagles win, it will be because Saquan Barkley had his highest number of touches for the year.
Carolina Panthers At Denver Broncos (-9)
Sean Payton is likely to try everything with Bo Nix this week. Denver is 4-3, with road games against Baltimore and Kansas City following this one with Carolina. It is a must-win game for the overall record. Building confidence and testing Nix for the future will also be a part of the game plan. Nix should have his highest totals for passing and rushing this season while adding at least one touchdown from a pass or run.
Kansas City Chiefs (-10) At Las Vegas Raiders
Patrick Mahomes has thrown 6 touchdowns and 8 interceptions for an undefeated Chiefs team. Combine that with Kansas City’s strong defense. Las Vegas, a team struggling on offense and weak on defense, will lose an ugly game.
Dallas Cowboys At San Francisco 49ers (-4.5)
Dallas is 3-3, with blowout losses against New Orleans and Detroit. San Francisco is 3-4, with a troubling list of significant injuries.
Dak Prescott is averaging 267 yards passing and one interception per game, though Dallas has not scored more than 20 points in four of their six games. San Francisco is near the top of the league in takeaways while giving up more points than might be expected from the quality of their defense. You should plan on big passing numbers from Prescott, but that will not result in the Cowboys scoring many points. Look for multiple turnovers from the 49ers’ defense.
Odds sourced from USA Today.
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