Parlays And Prop Bets: 2024 NFL Week Eleven
The Players And Teams Have Selfish Approaches To Every Game. Gamblers Would Be Wise To Remember That.
Will Teams Perform To Expectations? Deciding That Will Be Where The Real Wins Are Found.
We start with three interesting stories.
In Miami, a report has been released that Tyreek Hill is dealing with a wrist injury. Hill has spent most of the season playing without any injury designation. Pro Football Talk has one report about the news, including a link to work from ESPN’s Lisa Salters. Mike Florio covers additional ground, including the Philadelphia Eagles, and how the information connects to sports gambling.
Anthony Richardson will start at quarterback for the Indianapolis Colts against the New York Jets in week eleven. This link from colts.com reviews how Richardson has worked hard over the past two weeks to return to the role after being benched. The article discusses how far he’s come, and how much he’s grown. The article does not mention how Richardson was removed from the starting role after tapping out of a game, in a move widely criticized by teammates, coaches, and the media. It also doesn’t provide information about how Indianapolis lost the game, that included those actions, and has lost the two games played since then. JJ Stankevitz does not note the Colts have effectively fallen out of the playoff hunt. There is no examination concerning how Indianapolis management needs to decide about Richardson and his future with the club, along with how they may want him to play for their evaluation, as well as to showcase him for possible trade opportunities.
I select the 2024 NFL games against the point spread in articles for Stadium Rant. In those efforts, my two Golden Retrievers also make picks. One of those dogs has been correct 51.3% of the time. That’s good for deciding each matchup with a tennis ball. The other dog has been right with 63.8% of her choices. That’s mindboggling. (This week’s article: “As The NFL Reaches Week Eleven In 2024, Penny Dominates The Season.”)
There are many realities behind the scenes of an NFL season. These include the performances of individuals, the decisions and situations for different teams, and the realities of sports betting. There are statistics to research. There are emotions to consider. In more cases than you might expect, predictions are no more secure than the results found in a game of fetch. Enjoy the journey, and be careful if it becomes too serious.
Green Bay Packers (-6) At Chicago Bears
This game should be treated with care. The past week has been chaotic for Chicago, and their team will be unpredictable on the field. They could fold, providing opportunities for big numbers from Green Bay. They could fight out of pride, and deliver their strongest performance of the year. I’m watching Jordan Love, and preparing for multiple touchdowns from him. Avoid other areas in this contest. In addition to the chaos around the Bears, Love has been inconsistent this season.
Jacksonville Jaguars At Detroit Lions (-13)
Trevor Lawrence is out, and the Jaguars are done in 2024. Investigate Jared Goff, Jahmyr Gibbs, and Amon-Ra St. Brown of the Lions, and combine them for at least one touchdown from each as you see fit. Goff’s top yardage game of the year was 307 yards against Tampa, and he will likely clear that in this contest.
Las Vegas Raiders At Miami Dolphins (-7.5)
The news about Tyreek Hill and his injury is troubling when considering the Dolphins. They are now 3-6, have Tua Tagovailoa playing, and hope to mount a serious run toward the playoffs. Hill’s performance this season now appears to have been more than Tagovailoa’s absence. I doubt they will be able to sustain the run necessary to qualify for the postseason. All of this, however, is a long-range forecast.
Tagovailoa has been extremely accurate in his recent games. A win this week is a must for the team’s hopes. Against the Raiders, he should be part of your consideration.
Los Angeles Rams (-4.5) At New England Patriots
Following the loss to the Dolphins last week, the Rams are in a difficult position. They are 4-5, played last Monday night, and travel across the country to face the Patriots. Los Angeles has Philadelphia and Buffalo on the upcoming schedule, with divisional matches against San Francisco and Arizona.
Matthew Stafford has been strong with his numbers the past few weeks. Look for an aerial display, with big numbers from Cooper Kupp and Puka Nacua.
Cleveland Browns At New Orleans Saints (-1)
There is nothing about this game to consider. Look away and move on.
Baltimore Ravens (-3) At Pittsburgh Steelers
There is something not to trust about Pittsburgh. The numbers don’t seem to fit. They have one of the stingiest defenses in the league, and a barely average offense. This matchup may be the biggest divisional rivalry in the NFL, placing all expectations into a whirlwind.
When in doubt, trust the obvious. That means Lamar Jackson, and his run toward the 2024 MVP award. Expect Jackson to throw multiple touchdowns, and his passing and rushing numbers to reach more than 330 yards combined.
Minnesota Vikings (-6) At Tennessee Titans
This contest appears to be the easiest one remaining for Minnesota. If they are to have Sam Darnold and the offense perform well for the rest of the season, this game is where they will look to fire on all cylinders. Justin Jefferson and Aaron Jones will be workhorses this week, and Darnold’s stats will benefit from their performances.
Indianapolis Colts At New York Jets (-4)
This is another game on the schedule to avoid. Indianapolis is done for the year, with staff saying too many nice things about Richardson. The compliments do not match the situation.
New York has been a dumpster fire in 2024. The Jets get more credit than they deserve in that description.
Atlanta Falcons At Denver Broncos (-2)
The only thing from this game that intrigues me is the under, with the over/under hovering around 44 points.
Seattle Seahawks At San Francisco 49ers (-6.5)
Take Brock Purdy, Christian McCaffrey, Deebo Samuel, and Ricky Pearsall, and match them in pairs for parlays this week. McCaffrey, playing in his second game of the season, will take most of the early attention from Seattle. That won’t matter as the game progresses, with Purdy spreading the ball around enough to soften the Seahawks on defense.
Kansas City Chiefs At Buffalo Bills (-2.5)
There is no secret in what everyone wants to see from this game. Expectations are that Josh Allen and James Cook will be out in front of a Buffalo attack that has been steady and efficient all year. Patrick Mahomes has 6 touchdown passes and 1 interception in his past three games, which reverses some early season struggles. Travis Kelce has regained his swagger, which in no small part, seems associated with the resurgence of Mahomes. The Chiefs are also undefeated heading into this game.
The final score of this contest will be 31-27. Pick which team you believe will win, and use that team’s offense for your wagers.
Cincinnati Bengals At Los Angeles Chargers (-1.5)
Los Angeles allowed Pittsburgh to score 20 points in a game this year. The Steelers set the high mark against the Chargers, with three others reaching 17. The Chargers should be able to stop the Bengals.
If you need to bet on this game, take Los Angeles for turnovers. Their defense is as close to given as anything in this contest.
Odds sourced from USA Today
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