Predicting Every Round Of The Home Run Derby
The MLB All-Star break has finally arrived and so has the Home Run Derby which will take place at 8 p.m. EST on Monday, July 15.
Home Run Derby
Format
Eight batters face off against each other in Round 1. The four batters with the most home runs move onto the “Knockout Stage.” Seeding will be based on how many homers each batter hit in Round 1 (1 vs 4 and 2 vs 3)—the winners in each matchup square off for the title.
Rules
Round 1 and Round 2: Three minutes or 40 pitches
Round 3: Two minutes or 27 pitches
Bonuses: Bonus pitches until the batters get three outs. Additional out granted if a batter hits a home run over 425 feet.
Batters
Gunnar Henderson (+550): .288 BAA, 27 Home Runs, 61 RBIs
Marcell Ozuna (+425): .301 BAA, 26 Home Runs, 77 RBIs
Jose Ramirez (+1200): .272 BAA, 23 Home Runs, 77 RBIs
Teoscar Hernandez (+1000): .258 BAA, 19 Home Runs, 61 RBIs
Pete Alonso (+300): .241 BAA, 18 Home Runs, 49 RBIs
Adolis Garcia (+350): .216 BAA, 17 Home Runs, 45 RBIs
Bobby Witt Jr (+600): .327 BAA, 16 Home Runs, 63 RBIs
Alec Bohm (+1600): .292 BAA, 11 Home Runs, 70 RBIs
Predictions
Round 1
Marcell Ozuna
Pete Alonso
Gunnar Henderson
Jose Ramirez
e: Adolis Garcia
e: Bobby Witt Jr
e: Teoscar Hernandez
e: Alec Bohm
Round 2
Marcell Ozuna (1) vs Jose Ramirez (4)
Winner: Marcell Ozuna
Pete Alonso (2) vs Gunnar Henderson (3)
Winner: Pete Alonso
Round 3
Marcell Ozuna (1) vs Pete Alonso (2)
Winner: Pete Alonso
Other Predictions
Longest Home Run: Marcell Ozuna
Hardest Hit Home Run: Bobby Witt Jr
Pete Alonso will claim his third Home Run Derby title (2019 & 2021) in his fifth appearance. Despite having the fifth most homers between the contestants in the event, Alonso is the odds favorite at +300. Going chalk and picking the favorite is never fun, but Alonso is always all business during this event and has the most experience, giving him a clear edge.
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