Stadium Rant’s Best NBA Prop Bets 1-18-2023
In yesterday’s NBA article, January 17, the NBA best bets went 1-1 with the longshot parlay barely falling apart. All teams won as I had hoped but player performance severely lacked in two of the plays which resulted in the loss. James Harden was a non-factor in the game as Joel Embiid took the game over so he was nowhere near close to his over 31.5 points and assists. The bet that did cash was Kawhi Leonard and 25-plus points. Leonard was off to a slow start but came back strong in the second half. If you enjoy this segment of Stadium Rant’s NBA best bets, please check out the Gritty Gamblers Guide for the latest NFL and UFC bets!
John Collins O21.5 Points+Rebounds+Assists -120
As soon as I saw this prop bet, I wanted it. On DraftKings, both Collins lines over 21.5 are at very similar odds. You can bet his over 21.5 points and rebounds or points, rebounds, and assists. Even though Collins only averages 1.2 assists on the season, that extra one on the stat sheet could be the final factor. John has hit over 21.5 points and rebounds line in seven straight games and is averaging a whopping 39.8 points when he faces Dallas. Should I say more?
Lately, Collins hasn’t found the success that he does against Luka Doncic and the Dallas Mavericks but he’s still in the ballpark. On the year, he is averaging 13 points per game,1.2 assists per game, and 7.8 rebounds per game. This is my top player prop of the night. If you’re looking for another prop bet for Collins, check out his odds to get a double-double. With his success against the Mavericks, some coffee money could turn into lunch money.
De’Aaron Fox O24.5 Points -130
The Sacramento Kings will travel to Los Angeles to square off against Lebron James and the Lakers in the late NBA game slot. Normally Fox scoring over 24.5 points would scare me but with his success against the Lakers, I want to bet on it. In his last five games against the Lakers, he has hit this over in four of them, and in the one that he missed, he finished with 22 points. He is averaging close to 20 field goal attempts per game, and he is shooting around 50 percent on the season.
Fox is currently averaging 23.8 points per game. He has only surpassed this line in four of the last ten games but he has hit 24 points in three of them. One more free throw or bucket and he’d be in the green. The line for this NBA game is hovering around 247 points, so Vegas expects a shootout. 247 points is the highest line of the night and it only helps Fox’s line because it’ll allow him to shoot more and hopefully make more baskets.
Small Risk NBA SGPx +723
Atlanta Hawks at Dallas Mavericks +205 John Collins 20-plus points plus rebounds Trae Young over 8.5 assists Luka Doncic Double-Double Sacramento Kings at Los Angeles Lakers +170 De’Aaron Fox over 23.5 points Lebron James over 32.5 points
Time to mix things up and add in some NBA single-game parlay action. This parlay will include props from two games and it includes NBA props already mentioned above, just with altered lines. The first line is John Collins and his stat records are already listed above as the best bet of the day. Trae Young plays lights out against Dallas and should continue that tonight. He has ten-plus assists over the last four of five games, thus achieving a double-double. In the one game that he missed, he finished with nine assists. That’s where the over 8.5 assists leg comes from.
Luka Doncic is a double-double machine in the NBA and in certain instances, he hits the triple-double as well. This was the safest leg of the parlay. With his ankle injury, I didn’t want to push for a triple-double. Before his ankle injury last game, he was seven out of ten. In the three games that he missed, he missed with either nine rebounds or assists.
Next up, the Kings and Lakers. De’Aaron Fox is listed above at 24.5 points. I scaled his line back by a point due to the three games that I had mentioned where he finished with 24 points. Taking the safe approach with him. Whether Anthony Davis is in the lineup or not, Lebron James tears up the NBA court. Davis has already been ruled out. James is averaging 29.7 points per game but as I mentioned already, the over-under in this game is at 247 points. In a standard same-game parlay, I’d play James 35-plus points tonight. Lebron James achieving a double-double is also a different option if you don’t trust the points.
NBA Longshot Player Performance Doubles Parlay +2205
Julius Randle Double Double/New York to Win Josh Giddey 20-plus points/Oklahoma City to Win Jaren Jackson Jr. 15-plus points/Memphis to Win Utah Jazz ML Denver Nuggets ML
This will be the second time that I’ve used Randle in one of these parlays and for good reason. Randle is 10/10 over his last ten games, he is a focal point on this team and will continue to rack up those double-doubles. The Knicks are at home against a Washington Wizards team that is on a two-game losing streak and plays awful on the road. They are 7-16 in road matchups. The Knicks at home isn’t pretty either but they are close to .500 and are 7-3 in their last ten games.
Josh Giddey has been playing outstanding lately and getting a lot of shooting opportunities on the court. He’s 7/10 when scoring 20-plus points and nothing should change against this Indiana Pacers team that struggles on the road. The Pacers are riding a four-game losing streak, 5-5 over their last ten games, and are 8-13 on the road. The Thunder is on a three-game win streak, 6-4 over their last ten games, and is 13-9 when playing at home.
Jaren Jackson Jr. is the wild card on this parlay due to his scoring being all over the board. The Grizzlies are 7.5-point favorites at home. Similar to Monday’s home game against the Phoenix Suns when the Grizzlies were 12.5-point home favorites, the scoring should be there for Jackson. In that game, he scored 18 points and shot just under 50 percent. When Jackson gets closer to 30 minutes in a game, his scoring goes up so it’ll come down to his minutes in this game.
The Utah Jazz and Denver Nuggets didn’t have any attractive performance doubles so I just added the moneyline’s to increase the odds. The Jazz are 8.5-point favorites against the Los Angeles Clippers. The Clippers are an average team on the road and the Jazz play well. The Jazz are the NBA’s fourth-best offensive team but 26th when it comes to defense. The Clippers are the NBA’s 26th-worst offensive team but eighth-best on offense.
Paul George and Kawhi Leonard have already been ruled out, should be an easy win for the Jazz. In the Nuggets versus Minnesota Timberwolves game, Jamal Murray continues to play with an ankle injury and Nikola Jokic is on an NBA MVP run. Rudy Gobert and Karl-Anthony Towns are out for the T-Wolves. Anthony Edwards is questionable with a hip injury.
Disclaimer: These bets are all informational and in no way are we telling you to take these bets. Please bet smart and only bet what you can afford. If you need help, please don’t hesitate to get in touch with the gambling hotline at 1-800-270-7117.
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