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Writer's pictureWilliam Luke Hendrick

Week 8 SEC Picks: Best Bets, Predictions, and Analysis.

Week 8 SEC slate features five matchups and four out of five games are conference matchups.


Mississippi State travels to Arkansas, South Carolina heads to Missouri, Auburn welcomes in Ole Miss for Hugh Freeze to coach against his former team, LSU takes on Army in Death Valley, and the game of the week is #17 Tennessee heading to Bryant-Denny to play #11 Alabama.


Let's discuss this week's games and what are the best bets.


11:00 AM Kickoffs:


Mississippi State at Arkansas


Game Information:

Location: Razorback Stadium

Channel: ESPN


Mississippi State vs Arkansas Odds:

Spread: Arkansas -6 (-110), Mississippi State +6 (-110)

O/U: 48.5 (-110)

ML: Arkansas -280, Mississippi State +225


Season Performances:

Season Records: Arkansas (2-5, 0-4), Mississippi State (3-3, 0-3)

ATS: Arkansas (4-3), Mississippi State (1-5)

O/U: Arkansas (4-2-1), Mississippi State (4-2)

Home/Away: Arkansas (2-1 H), Mississippi State (0-1 A)

Team Streak: Arkansas (L5), Mississippi State (W1)


What To Bet And Why:

The way to attack this game is the O/U which is currently at 48.5. Both teams have a combined O/U record of 8-4-1 on the year. Arkansas has also hit the game total in 8 of their last 13 games.


Best Bet:

O 48.5


2:30 PM Kickoffs:


South Carolina at #20 Missouri


Game Information:

Location: Memorial Stadium

Channel: SECN


South Carolina vs Missouri Odds:

Spread: Missouri -7.5 (-110), South Carolina +7.5 (-110)

O/U: 60.5 (-110)

ML: Missouri (-300), South Carolina (+240)


Season Performances:

Season Records: Missouri (6-1), South Carolina (2-4)

ATS: Missouri (4-3), South Carolina (3-3)

O/U: Missouri (6-1), South Carolina (4-2)

Home/Away: Missouri (3-1 H), South Carolina (0-2)

Team Streak: Missouri (W1), South Carolina (L2)


What To Bet And Why:

This is the highest O/U number both teams have seen all season. Missouri is 2-0 at home and South Carolina is 0-2 on the road. Fade the spread and bet Missouri to win.


Best Bet:

Missouri ML


#17 Tennessee at #11 Alabama


Game Information:

Location: Bryant-Denny Stadium

Channel: CBS


Tennessee vs Alabama Odds:

Spread: Alabama -8.5 (-110), Tennessee +8.5 (-110)

O/U: 48.5 (-110)

ML: Alabama (-350), Tennessee (+275)


Season Performances:

Season Records: Alabama (6-1), Tennessee (5-1)

ATS: Alabama (4-3), Tennessee (4-2)

O/U: Alabama (4-2-1), Tennessee (2-3-1)

Home/Away: Alabama (3-1 H), Tennessee (0-1 A)

Team Streak: Alabama (W5), Tennessee (W3)


What To Bet And Why:

From what we've seen so far this Alabama offense is not the Alabama offense's of the past that could pull away from teams. Alabama ranks 129th in sacks allowed per game which will give the Tennessee defensive line plenty of opportunities to get after the quarterback. Alabama wins but Tennessee keeps it close. Tennessee can also run the ball to dominate the time of possession.


Best Bet:

Tennessee +8.5


6:00 PM Kickoffs:


#13 Ole Miss at Auburn


Game Information:

Location: Jordan-Hare Stadium

Channel: ESPN


Ole Miss vs Auburn Odds:

Spread: Ole Miss (-6.5), Auburn (+6.5)

O/U: 54.5 (-110)

ML: Ole Miss -255, Auburn +205


Season Performances:

Season Records: Ole Miss (5-1), Auburn (3-3)

ATS: Ole Miss (4-2), Auburn (2-4)

O/U: Ole Miss (3-3), Auburn (3-3)

Home/Away: Ole Miss (1-1 A), Auburn (2-1 H)

Team Streak: Ole Miss (W2), Auburn (L1)


What To Bet And Why:

Auburn at home is a completely different team than Auburn on the road. Auburn has won 8 out of the 10 last games against Ole Miss and hasn't lost to Ole Miss at home since 2015.


Ole Miss has been horrific after bye weeks the last 12 games, losing 9 of them. Auburn is a live dog. The spread is the safe play but Auburn ML could be a play.


Best Bet:

Auburn +6.5



6:30 PM Kickoffs:


Army at #19 LSU


Game Information:

Location: Tiger Stadium

Channel: SECN


Army vs LSU Odds:

Spread: LSU (-31.5), Army (+31.5)

O/U: 57.5 (-110)

ML: LSU (-8000), Army (+2000)


Season Performances:

Season Records: LSU (5-2), Army (2-4)

ATS: LSU (4-3), Army (2-3-1)

O/U: 57.5

Home/Away: LSU (3-0 H), Army (1-2 A)

Team Streak: LSU (W2), Army (L3)


What To Bet And Why:

LSU has been a monster on hitting the over this season. A perfect 7-0 on the season. If it ain't broke don't fix it.


Best Bet:

O 57.5


Lock Of The Week:


Army at LSU Over 57.5 is my lock of the week. As I stated earlier LSU is a perfect 7-0 hitting the over. Don't overthink it. Go and grab this number before it rises.


Best of luck to those who are gambling this weekend and may all your bets hit.

 

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